Working from home forever, maybe
My office closed today. Not for a week. Indefinitely.
I’m writing this from my kitchen table. My laptop is propped up on a stack of books because the angle was hurting my neck. There’s a coffee mug that’s been here since yesterday. Outside the window, the streets are empty in a way that feels wrong, like a movie set before they add the extras.
Everyone I know is in the same situation. My sister. My friends. My barber closed his shop. The grocery store has lines around the block but the office district looks post-apocalyptic.
And I keep thinking: what if it stays like this?
The experiment nobody designed
We’re running the largest work-from-home experiment in human history, and nobody planned it. No gradual rollout. No pilot program. No strategy document. Just: it’s March 2020, go home, figure it out.
Zoom went from a tool I used for occasional remote meetings to the infrastructure my entire work life runs on. Slack is now the break room, the hallway, and the water cooler compressed into text channels. I had three video calls today and in all three, someone’s kid walked through the background.
There’s something both terrible and illuminating about being forced into something you’ve been debating for years. The debate about remote work was always theoretical. “Could people really be productive from home?” “Don’t you need face-to-face for creative work?” “What about company culture?”
Now we find out.
What changes if this lasts
If remote work becomes permanent for even 30% of office workers, the downstream effects are enormous. I’ve been making a list.
Commuting. The average American commutes 27 minutes each way. That’s an hour a day, five hours a week, 250 hours a year. If that goes away, people get back ten full days of their lives annually.
Real estate. If you don’t need to live near your office, why live in an expensive city? Gallup was already tracking a trend of people leaving urban cores. This accelerates it by years.
Commercial real estate. Entire downtown cores are built on the assumption that people come to offices five days a week. If that assumption breaks, what happens to the buildings?
Restaurants. Transportation. Dry cleaners. The entire service economy that orbits office workers.
I’m not saying all of this collapses. I’m saying the shape changes. The way cities organize themselves, the way humans move through space on a daily basis, all of it was built around the office. If the office becomes optional, everything downstream from it shifts.
What I’m feeling
Honestly? Two things at once.
I’m scared. A pandemic is a terrible reason to reshape society. People are dying. The economy is in free fall. Nothing about this is fun or exciting.
But there’s also a part of me, sitting at my kitchen table in sweatpants at 2pm on a Monday, that thinks: what if we were always supposed to work this way? What if the office was just a habit we never questioned because we never had to?
I don’t know. It’s too early to know.
But I’m watching this very carefully. Because I think March 2020 might be one of those months that shows up in history books. Not just because of the virus. Because of what the virus forced us to try.
Related thinking:
astro
Thinking about AI, robots, space, and the future. Writing it down so I don't forget.